Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.178784 0.200344 0.222824 0.247958 0.275219 0.303837 0.336095
2025-02-02 0.154680 0.184703 0.217490 0.255765 0.299023 0.346206 0.401359
2025-02-09 0.133514 0.168627 0.208549 0.256894 0.313435 0.377047 0.453590
2025-02-16 0.119261 0.158326 0.204340 0.261846 0.331064 0.410967 0.509404
2025-02-23 0.109340 0.151800 0.203407 0.269700 0.351488 0.447970 0.569187
2025-03-02 0.096659 0.140387 0.195224 0.267588 0.359017 0.469121 0.610030
2025-03-09 0.087010 0.131819 0.189663 0.267888 0.368859 0.492695 0.653767
2025-03-16 0.078079 0.123291 0.183320 0.266428 0.375886 0.512444 0.692738
2025-03-23 0.072884 0.119363 0.182609 0.271955 0.391664 0.543171 0.745715
2025-03-30 0.066433 0.113037 0.178090 0.271909 0.399813 0.564042 0.786337
2025-04-06 0.060598 0.107071 0.173580 0.271428 0.407055 0.583588 0.825339
2025-04-13 0.055265 0.101377 0.169008 0.270455 0.413329 0.601726 0.862584
2025-04-20 0.051263 0.097560 0.167103 0.273378 0.425337 0.628180 0.911958
2025-04-27 0.048955 0.096240 0.168766 0.281400 0.444555 0.664622 0.975194
2025-05-04 0.045115 0.092062 0.165802 0.282416 0.453803 0.687653 1.020864
2025-05-11 0.042604 0.089891 0.165749 0.287638 0.469046 0.719048 1.078224
2025-05-18 0.040994 0.089127 0.167810 0.296025 0.488965 0.757171 1.145263
2025-05-25 0.037296 0.084318 0.163074 0.293728 0.493104 0.773292 1.182361
2025-06-01 0.034445 0.080781 0.160160 0.294038 0.500948 0.794602 1.226795
2025-06-08 0.031500 0.076784 0.156209 0.292462 0.505798 0.811617 1.265385
2025-06-15 0.030096 0.075633 0.156986 0.298395 0.522028 0.845068 1.327354
2025-06-22 0.027816 0.072523 0.154179 0.298344 0.529032 0.865257 1.370851
2025-06-29 0.025651 0.069434 0.151199 0.297826 0.535201 0.884228 1.412786